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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Biden’s Pentagon Backs Missile Defense After a $1.2 Billion Flop

Thursday, February 18, 2021

Categories: ASCF News Missile Defense

Comments: 0

The Biden administration is pressing ahead with efforts to develop a successor to a failed missile interceptor project that cost $1.2 billion, awarding an initial contract as soon as this month to two of the three biggest U.S. defense contractors.

The decision to proceed is one of the first procurement decisions under new Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. The Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency plans to choose two winners for five-year design and development contracts from teams led by Northrop Grumman Corp.Lockheed Martin Corp. and Boeing Co.

The agency “continues to adhere to established source selection processes as they evaluate each of the proposals and anticipates being ready for contract award this month,” Pentagon spokeswoman Jessica Maxwell said in an email. The Defense Department’s independent cost analysis unit must complete its program estimate before the award, she said.

The competition will culminate with a winner-take-all selection to build as many as 20 new warheads after a “Critical Design Review” scheduled for no later than 2026, a date the agency hopes to accelerate. The new warheads are intended to crash into and destroy incoming missiles from an adversary such as North Korea and Iran. They would be installed on missile interceptors based in Alaska, adding to 44 with earlier model warheads already in place in silos there and in California.

The “Next Generation Interceptor” is intended to correct the mistakes of a failed warhead program that spanned the Obama and Trump administrations before it was canceled in August 2019 after $1.2 billion was spent on a project meant for deployment in 2023.

The Missile Defense Agency and the contractors on that project -- Boeing and the company now known as Raytheon Technologies Corp. -- had multiple opportunities since 2010 to address issues leading to the cancellation, according to the Government Accountability Office in a report last year.

Countering ‘Adventurism’

“The Biden administration can prove it can do missile defense better than the Trump administration” by keeping the program on track, said Tim Morrison, a former Trump administration National Security Council official who’s now an analyst with the Hudson Institute. He said modernizing the ground-based missile defense system would strengthen Biden’s hand against North Korea and Iran and also create “deterrence against the reckless adventurism of Russia and China.”

In the new competition, Boeing has teamed with General Atomics Electromagnetic Systems; Northrop Grumman is working with Raytheon; and Lockheed has teamed with Aeroject Rocketdyne.

The estimated total cost if the earlier “Redesigned Kill Vehicle” had been completed had ballooned to $2.91 billion by the time it was canceled. That was up from an original $870 million estimate in 2015.

According to the GAO, the agency and contractors “did not adequately address technical risks despite numerous warnings from subject matter experts and officials within and outside of the RKV program about the performance issues which later resulted in the program’s cancellation,” the GAO said.

Lessons learned from the failed program are being applied in the new competition with plans for early testing of parts and test flights, the GAO said in confirming the approach announced last year by Vice Admiral Jon Hill, the current director of the Missile Defense Agency.

Hill said last year that he anticipated placing the first of the defensive missiles in the ground “after sufficient intercept testing as early as 2028.”

Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

Link: Biden’s Pentagon Backs Missile Defense After a $1.2 Billion Flop - Bloomberg

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