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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

China - Russia Be Afraid

Monday, September 18, 2023

Written by Laurence F Sanford, Senior Analyst ASCF

Categories: ASCF News ASCF Articles

Comments: 0

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Russia should be afraid, very afraid of China. Today, they are best friends and partners. Tomorrow? The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has embarked on a self-declared road to world domination. Following the path paved by former socialist Nazi Germany, the CCP is ginning up the Chinese people over past treaty territorial grievances, racial superiority, and military/economic prowess.

A “no limits” partnership was declared by CCP President Xi and Russian President Putin shortly before the February 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. In the long term, however, the CCP will continue on its own path of grievances by reclaiming territories presently in Russia that were lost due to a series of “unequal treaties.”

Russia should be afraid because the most recent example of a CCP territory claim grievance is the August 2023 Chinese map declaring all 135 square miles of Bolshoi Ussuriysky Island in the Amur River to be part of China. Currently, the island is occupied by both parties. Russia rejected the Chinese map claim and stated border issues had been settled more than fifteen years ago. The Amur River marks the border for over one thousand miles.

There is no love lost between Russians in Siberia and the millions of Chinese along the border. After the Sino-Soviet split in 1969, an undeclared military confrontation occurred near Zhenbao Island on the Ussuri River, which separates Northeast China/Manchuria from Russia. The seven-month clash ended when Soviet Premier Kosygin met with Chinese Premier Zhou En Lai, and a ceasefire was ordered with a return to the status quo. Two years later, in 1971, the CCP welcomed Henry Kissinger to Beijing to counterbalance the Soviet Union with the United States.

Siberia is in Asia, with a Russian population of approximately 34 million. Russia’s total population is 144 million. China has a population of 1.4 billion with an economy and military that dwarfs Russia’s.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF)) estimates 2022 gross national product (GDP):
Russia $1.7 Trillion
China $19.3 Trillion
U.S. $26.8 Trillion

Mongols ruled Siberia until the 1600s when Russian fur traders expanded eastward and gradually exerted control over nomadic Turkic and Mongol tribes. The Treaty of Nerchinsk in 1689 was the first treaty between Russia and the Manchu Qing dynasty (1644-1912) of China. Russia gave up territory north of the Amur River and kept areas around Lake Baikal, the deepest lake in the world, holding 20% of the world's fresh water.

In the 1800s, with the decline of the Qing dynasty and the rise of Western and Japanese imperialism, China signed a series of treaties ceding territories, including Hong Kong to the British, Taiwan to Japan, and Siberia (north of the Amur River and east of the Ussuri) to Russia. This allowed Russia to build a Pacific naval base at Vladivostok.

The CCP has a long memory with a long-term strategic plan. The Marxist playbook of grievances against the bourgeois, racism, and historical events is used to unify the people. There is no Marxist “brotherly” love amongst communist, socialist countries; there is only national self-interest, with the goal of defeating Western civilization and the United States. “The enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

The CCP is also operating under the belief that if there were a historical Chinese presence anywhere in the world, then the CCP has the right to rule there today.
Following this logic:
● Siberia belongs to China since the Chinese were present centuries before Russian fur traders appeared.
● The South China Seas belong to China since Chinese fishing and trading vessels plied its waters centuries ago. The presence of Vietnamese, Philippine, Malaysian, and Indonesian fishing fleets in these waters does not matter in CCP calculations.
● Taiwan was once part of China (never under CCP control) and, therefore, should return to CCP China regardless of the will of the Taiwanese people.

Another of the many tools the CCP uses to rejuvenate China is to appeal to the 60 million people of Chinese extraction who live outside China. Front organizations and police stations for CCP security organizations are located in cities worldwide in order to keep track of Chinese expatriates and influence local politics.

Summary

Russia is a third-rate country with a first-rate nuclear capability. Ruled by a KGB thug, there is a good chance the Russian Federation will dissolve, as did the Soviet Union when he departs. Siberia could be among the first to declare its independence from European Russia, and China would be claiming its lost territories in Siberia.

Only the United States is capable of leading Western Civilization against the CCP march to world domination. Western Civilization is worth fighting for. It is the individual against the collective. It is the government of the people, by the people, and for the people. It is not people of the government, by the government, or for the government.

Free market capitalism has generated more freedom from poverty and more freedom from political repression than any other system in world history. It is based on property rights, order and law, and a moral society.

Action

1. Recognize that the CCP has declared “unrestricted warfare” against the West.
2. Decouple economically from China.
3. “We win, they lose” should be our national policy.
4. Never trust a communist.
5. Reciprocity. If China does not allow U.S. media to operate in China, then the U.S. should not allow Chinese media (TikTok) to operate in the U.S.
6. Invest in our military.

Peace Through Strength!

Laurence F. Sanford
Senior Analyst
American Security Council Foundation
www.ascf.us

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