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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

China and Russia Are the X-Factors in Biden’s Afghanistan Withdrawal

Thursday, April 15, 2021

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats National Preparedness

Comments: 0

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The mission to root out al Qaeda operatives who found sanctuary in Afghanistan and from there coordinated the Sept. 11 attacks was named “Enduring Freedom.” Then-President George W. Bush said it was a reflection of America’s duty to “defend not only our precious freedoms, but also the freedom of people everywhere to live and raise their children free from fear.”

Nearly two decades and three U.S. presidencies later, with a war that claimed thousands of American and Afghan lives, President Biden has said he would do what none of his three immediate predecessors were able to: leave Afghanistan for good.

With 2001 now a generation in the past and the war effort recruiting soldiers born as many as three years after the attacks, Mr. Biden has opted to reprioritize American foreign policy objectives and redirect the war funding toward domestic concerns.

Among other aims, Mr. Biden is calculating that the U.S. should focus on challenges from Russia and China.

Russia’s troop buildup on the Ukrainian border is its largest since just before it invaded Crimea in 2014. Taiwan’s Defense Ministry has noted repeated incursions by China’s air force into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone over the South China Sea in recent days. Monday saw the largest such incursion, the ministry said, with two dozen fighters, bombers and other aircraft entering the zone southwest of Taiwan.

For Mr. Biden, the top foreign policy priority in 2021 is the growing competition between Western democracies and autocratic nations—particularly China and Russia.

“It is clear, absolutely clear…that this is a battle between the utility of democracies in the 21st century and autocracies,” Mr. Biden said during his first news conference last month, singling out Chinese President Xi Jinping as one of the latter’s leading practitioners. “He’s one of the guys, like [Russian President Vladimir] Putin, who thinks that autocracy is the wave of the future and democracy can’t function in an ever—an ever-complex world.”

In its early days, the Biden administration has taken aim at China and Russia on issues such as trade, human rights, cybersecurity and the international rules-based order. It asserts the U.S. should avoid the proactive counterterrorism and interventionist policies of the past two decades.

Mr. Biden’s focus on human rights and multilateralism contrasts with the Trump administration, which inherited several battlefronts but generally avoided involvement in the domestic affairs of other nations.

The Biden administration has opted to confront Moscow and Beijing on such matters as their human-rights records, while insisting it is looking to keep the door open for cooperation and collaboration on issues from arms control to climate change.

“We have to strengthen our alliances and work with like-minded partners to ensure that the rules of international norms that govern cyber threats and emerging technologies that will shape our future are grounded in our democratic values, not those of the autocrats,” Mr. Biden said Wednesday.

It has sanctioned the junta in Myanmar after this year’s coup, condemned human-rights atrocities and sexual violence in Ethiopia’s Tigray region and endorsed the Trump administration’s designation of China’s treatment of minority Uighurs as genocide. Mr. Biden himself has called out Mr. Putin as a “killer” for his attacks on political opponents.

Many officials and experts say the administration’s decision to pull U.S. troops out of Afghanistan goes against its stated aims. They say it will reverse two decades of progress made since the U.S. invaded in 2001, especially for women who were subject to brutal treatment by the Taliban when it governed Afghanistan.

“Once we leave, the pressure that we’ve been keeping on these elements goes away and it creates a vacuum,” said Lisa Curtis, who headed Afghanistan policy at the National Security Council for Mr. Trump until January. “The Afghan government becomes vulnerable, the women who we had worked so hard to protect and empower become vulnerable and the entire country will be threatened once again by terrorist elements.”

Russia and China have criticized the U.S. for its rhetoric as it grapples with its own domestic problems, such as protests over racism and economic inequality. Mr. Biden has tried to bolster America’s standing with allies in Europe and Asia as a leading voice on such issues.

Photo: U.S. Army soldiers returned to New York’s Fort Drum in December from a nine-month deployment to Afghanistan.
PHOTO: JOHN MOORE/GETTY IMAGES

Link: https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-and-russia-are-the-x-factors-in-bidens-afghanistan-withdrawal-11618418114

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