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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

F-35 Risks Falling Behind China, Russia Threats, Panel Warns

Thursday, September 16, 2021

Categories: ASCF News National Preparedness

Comments: 0

Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-15/f-35-risks-falling-behind-china-and-russia-defenses-panel-warns

Lockheed Martin F-35A Photographer: George Frey/Bloomberg

Lockheed Martin Corp.’s F-35, the world’s costliest weapons system, may fail to keep pace with Chinese and Russian air defense improvements given its “extraordinary costs” so far, the U.S. House defense policy committee has warned.

The House Armed Services Committee supported the F-35’s $398 billion acquisition program in the report accompanying its version of the fiscal 2022 defense policy bill. It said the sophisticated fighter “can be used against advanced integrated air defense systems operating against the United States or its foreign partners and allies during high-end, very contested contingencies” once it finally receives key software upgrades.

But the committee called into question “overly aggressive development and production schedules” that for more than 20 years have resulted “in longer schedules and much higher costs than planned to realize less than full warfighting capabilities required by the Department of Defense.”

With adversaries that pose “near-peer” challenges advancing more rapidly than expected, the panel said it’s “uncertain as to whether or not the F-35 aircraft can sufficiently evolve to meet the future expected threat in certain geographical areas of operations in which combat operations could occur.”

The committee didn’t name the adversaries of concern but Pentagon officials cite China as the prime threat driving U.S. defense investments and also note Russian moves.

The panel’s view reflects that the F-35 still hasn’t demonstrated its capabilities in a simulation against the most challenging Russian and Chinese air defense systems. The 64-sortie simulator exercise to be run by the Navy was most recently supposed to have been completed in December, though it was originally planned for 2017.

Simulation Concerns
In April, Bloomberg News reported that the Defense Department’s F-35 program office projected the target date as August 2022. F-35 program manager Air Force Lieutenant General Eric Fick told reporters on Wednesday that a new start date was being assessed and would be presented to Pentagon leaders next month.

Although much progress has been made, it’s his assessment after visiting the test site last week that the schedule for the initial upfront preparation phase before the aircraft is put through its most challenging phases “is aggressive and will be challenging to meet,” Fick said.

The program office is working its way through about 105 subsystem software “packages” needed to verify and validate that the simulator “does what we expected it to do” and “we can trust what it says to be true,” Fick said. “That progress to date has been pretty slow” with about only 25 of the packages reviewed. The test team is “reassessing options and alternatives” to modify and make the schedule more realistic, he said.

The Pentagon requested 85 F-35s for the fiscal year that begins Oct. 1, up from 79 this year. The House Armed Services panel cut five, authorizing 80. The Senate Armed Services Committee added six jets. The House Appropriations Committee approved 85; its Senate counterpart hasn’t acted on its bill yet. More than 690 F-35s of more than 3,000 projected have been delivered and are operating from 21 bases around the world.

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