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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Hong Kong in Shock as China’s Xi Jinping Goes for ‘Nuclear Option’

Wednesday, May 27, 2020

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats Missile Defense

Comments: 0

With his plan to impose sweeping antisedition legislation on Hong Kong, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has revealed a willingness to alter the onetime British colony’s special status as a self-governing city with a speed and scope that has surprised many, from pro-democracy activists to diplomats to businesspeople.

At a meeting of mainland China’s National People’s Congress last week, authorities said they would go around Hong Kong’s own legislature and draft measures against secession, foreign influence and terrorism as Beijing seeks to curb protests by Hong Kong citizens seeking more freedom and autonomy.

The move suggests Mr. Xi is shifting gears in his approach to Hong Kong and many now anticipate an accelerating effort to control other areas fundamental to Hong Kong’s free-market identity, from its educational system and free press to its courts and immigration policies.

“In the future, Beijing will control not only the administration of Hong Kong but its ideology,” said Johnny Lau, a longtime Hong Kong political analyst and journalist.

Over the weekend, thousands of demonstrators took to the streets to oppose the move and the growing influence of mainland China. Amid mass arrests, protesters called for more rallies, potentially reviving a movement that had quieted down during the coronavirus pandemic.

China has said it would allow its secret police and other security agencies to operate openly in Hong Kong for the first time as part of still unclarified new enforcement measures that will accompany new security rules.

“The people of Hong Kong should prepare to cope with the varieties of arbitrary detention that have been inflicted on compatriots elsewhere in China,” wrote Jerome Cohen, director of the U.S.-Asia Law Institute at New York University and author of an influential blog on law in China and Asia.

Chinese authorities are taking pains to say the security legislation doesn’t mean the end of Hong Kong’s special status under “one country, two systems,” which has underpinned the city’s role as an international financial hub and a crucial channel for Chinese companies and provinces to borrow money.

Chinese officials have said that the measures only target a minority of troublemakers and their foreign helpers seeking to undermine China’s sovereignty. Instead, they said, the legislation would enhance Hong Kong’s role as a trading hub by stamping out possible terrorism.

“There is absolutely no need to panic or worry that you may be unfavorably impacted,” China’s foreign affairs commissioner in Hong Kong, Xie Feng, told a packed room of international diplomats, business groups and journalists on Monday.

Hong Kong’s courts would remain independent, for example, he said. But he couched his assurances with a warning: “In particular, do not be a rumormonger yourself, or join the anti-China forces in stigmatizing or demonizing the legislation.”

Hong Kong’s free press, which operates in contrast to mainland China’s censored newspapers, could be hit by the new measures. While Mr. Xie said press freedom would be enhanced by the legislation, he also warned journalists not to hide behind assertions of free press to subvert the state.

In recent days, China’s propaganda outlets have attacked the publisher of Hong Kong’s popular pro-democracy newspaper Apple Daily for supporting the protests.

“HK people have 2 choices: emigrate or stay to fight to the end,” the publisher, Jimmy Lai, said on Twitter after the security measures were announced. “I’ll fight to the end. HK is my home.”

China has already exerted authority over journalists entering Hong Kong, previously the responsibility of city immigration officials. In March, Beijing kicked a group of American journalists out of mainland China, including reporters from The Wall Street Journal, and banned them from Hong Kong as well.

Education is another local concern. Beijing has sought for decades to include pro-China coursework in local schools, an idea opposed by many in Hong Kong as propaganda. The initiative was scrapped after an earlier round of protests. It could easily be revived, many here believe.

Some Hong Kong pro-democracy activists believe that the city’s financial importance for China may ultimately limit Beijing’s ability to intervene in local affairs if its actions undermine global confidence in Hong Kong as a safe and transparent place to do business.

Hong Kong’s stock market took its biggest one-day drop since 2015 after Beijing’s plan was announced, as local business groups expressed concern that China’s interventions in Hong Kong could undermine the city’s free market ethos.

“Hong Kong is an important place, sustained by its international status. I think there is room to organize and oppose these actions,” said Nathan Law, a pro-democracy politician. “Although all this is very scary because we, the high profile activists, are the ones being targeted.”

The U.S. is reviewing whether Hong Kong retains its semiautonomous status in the wake of Beijing’s plan. A finding that it has lost its semiautonomy could prompt the U.S. Congress to take punitive action, from removing the city’s special trade status to imposing sanctions.

Underscoring the perception that the mainland is calling the shots in Hong Kong, the city’s unpopular China-backed chief executive, Carrie Lam, gave a press conference on Friday in which she supported the new laws while admitting that she didn’t have any details on what they would say. The wording of the legislation is still being completed in Beijing.

Many in Hong Kong had expected Beijing to rely on the city’s lawmaking body, which is stacked with pro-Beijing politicians, to introduce national-security legislation. Imposing it by fiat was seen as a less likely “nuclear option,” since it undermines the principle of self-governance.

China had urged Hong Kong to pass similar laws on its own for decades. Mr. Xie, the foreign affairs commissioner, said Beijing has the authority to directly introduce such laws under Hong Kong’s mini constitution and is acting now because the issues of national security issue are urgent.

An early sign that Beijing would shift its stance was the government’s decision this year to appoint retirement-aged Communist Party enforcers to key posts responsible for relations with the city.

Xia Baolong, a 67-year-old hard-liner who once oversaw the destruction of churches in China’s most Christian region, was named to direct the Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office. He is a close ally of Mr. Xi, serving under him in Zhejiang province in the early 2000s when China’s leader was a rising party secretary.

Under Mr. Xia came the 65-year-old Luo Huining, whose résumé as a former provincial-level Communist Party official made him an unusually powerful figure to take over at the separate Hong Kong liaison office.

Unlike past holders of the posts, the men had almost no previous experience or links to the city.

In April, Mr. Xia lambasted Hong Kong lawmakers for moving too slowly to pass a law outlawing booing during China’s national anthem, a common occurrence in Hong Kong stadiums. He accused at least one lawmaker of committing a crime of “malicious filibustering.”

Legislators said the complaint trampled a key tenet of “one country, two systems,” prohibiting mainland officials from intervening in Hong Kong’s legislative affairs.

Mr. Luo’s office affirmed that the officials could say what they want.

“In representing the central government, [the offices] have the right to exercise supervision and express solemn attitudes on affairs regarding Hong Kong and the mainland,” it said.

The next month, China said it would impose the security measures without involving Hong Kong lawmakers at all.

Photo: A protester was detained by Hong Kong police on Sunday as democracy protests picked up again following Beijing’s introduction of legislation governing the territory. - MIGUEL CANDELA/SOPA IMAGES/ZUMA PRESS

Link: https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-xi-moves-to-tighten-grip-on-hong-kong-with-new-laws-11590430670?mod=world_major_2_pos6

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