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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Iran Deploys Missiles Covering The Strait Of Hormuz

Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats Missile Defense

Comments: 0

Evidence suggests that Iran has deployed an array of anti-ship missiles and large rockets overlooking Strait of Hormuz. The Strait is vital for the supply of oil from the Arab states of the Persian Gulf. The waterway is being patrolled by U.S. Navy and its allies to protect vessels from Iranian action.

Multiple amateur videos and photos of the weapons lined up on overlooking the beach began surfacing on social media on April 4. Geospatial analysis has confirmed that the location of one of the batteries is on Qeshm Island.

The Open Source intelligence (OSINT) shows the weapons were deployed beside the coast road, facing east towards the Strait, between Qeshm and Borka Khalaf. They were lined up behind a protective sand berm. The space between them suggests a tactical deployment. Although whether it is an exercise or a show of force, and whether or not it was supposed to be seen, remains unclear.

The weapons appear to belong the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The systems seen include the Fajr-3 and Fajr-5 multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS). The Fajr-3 carries twelve 240mm (9.5 inch) rockets. These have a range of 27 miles and carry a large warhead. All twelve rockets can be loosed off in under two minutes.

The larger Fajr-5 can hit targets 45 miles away. Only four are carried on each launcher however. Unlike the Fajr-3, which was based on a North Korean design, this rocket appears to be truly Iranian in origin. In 2017 Iran revealed a satellite guided version with a reported range of up to 80 miles, but it is unclear whether this has entered service. From their positions the Fajr-3 rockets can reach most of the way across the Straits of Hormuz, and the larger Fajr-5s the whole Strait.

More potent than the rockets are anti-ship missiles. At least one mobile anti-ship missile launcher has been identified in the footage. The Khatam-5 system carries Noor sea-skimming missiles which are derived from the Chinese C-802 system. They are generally equivalent to the U.S. Navy’s Harpoon. They are carried on a truck which can be disguised as a regular civilian vehicle. The cab is the ubiquitous white and the missile and radar can be retracted into a box-like back. With the missiles in carry mode the vehicle would be very difficult to identify.

The location will be familiar to naval planners. There are several missile sites and naval facilities on the island, including one with an underground tunnel for boats and submarines. Deployment positions like this are transient and the systems have likely been moved since the imagery was taken. Their presence on the island sends a message of Iran’s preparedness however and reminds us that the Straits remain a potential flash point.

Iran continues to build up its naval capabilities across the board. The Iranian Navy recently announced that it is working on a large submarine and a 6,000 ton destroyer.

Photo: The site of the deployment, on the eastern end of Qeshm Island, covers the Strait of Hormuz. Weapons systems include Noor anti-ship missiles, and Fajr-3 and Fajir-5 rockets. 

Link: https://www.forbes.com/sites/hisutton/2020/04/07/iran-deploys-missiles-covering-the-strait-of-hormuz/#333d4547751d

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