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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Mexico Cries Foul at Natural Gas Cutoff Ordered by Texas Governor

Friday, February 19, 2021

Categories: ASCF News National Preparedness

Comments: 0

MEXICO CITY — The Mexican government said on Thursday that it was working to reverse an order from Gov. Greg Abbott of Texas to restrict natural gas exports, part of that state’s effort to resolve widespread power outages that have left millions of Texans without electricity in the middle of a deadly winter storm.

Mr. Abbott’s order has heightened tensions between the two countries, with top Mexican officials protesting the governor’s decision to cut off gas supplies just as Mexico works to resolve its own mass power outages as a result of the frigid weather.

“We are doing our diplomatic work so that this doesn’t happen,” President Andrés Manuel López Obrador of Mexico said at a news conference on Thursday, referring to Mr. Abbott’s order. “This wouldn’t just affect Mexico — it would also affect other states in the Union.”

Governor Abbott on Wednesday ordered Texas producers who were exporting natural gas out of state to instead sell to in-state power generators until Feb. 21.

The fallout south of the border from Mr. Abbott’s measure underscored the extent to which Mexico relies on the United States for much of its power, even as Mr. López Obrador pushes for greater Mexican energy sovereignty.

Gas-fired plants generate about two-thirds of Mexico’s power. In 2019, 96 percent of natural gas imports were from the United States, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

The arctic weather in Texas froze natural-gas pipelines between the two countries, according to Mexican energy officials, which, coupled with a surge in demand for gas in the United States, disrupted energy production across northern Mexico and left almost five million customers in Mexico without power earlier this week.

The mass outages affected not just private homes but also industry, with major manufacturers like General Motors and Volkswagen forced to halt operations, leading to an estimated $2.7 billion in losses, according to Reuters.

On Thursday, Mexico’s state energy company, the Federal Electricity Commission, or C.F.E., said it had restored power to all users by generating energy from other sources, including hydroelectric and coal-fired plants.

This latest outage comes on the heels of one in December that briefly left about 10 million people without electricity.

Authorities in Mexico were quick to shift the blame for this week’s outage to the country’s northern neighbor, with Mr. López Obrador hitting back at critics of the state energy company.

“Even though the problem originates in the United States, in Texas to be precise, all the criticism is toward the Federal Electricity Commission, toward the government of Mexico,” the president said on Thursday.

Mexico’s economy minister, Tatiana Clouthier, said on Twitter that she had spoken to Roberta Jacobson, a top Biden administration aide for the Southwestern border, regarding the issues confronting both Mexico and the United States because of the “emergency situation facing Texas” and said both countries were looking for “immediate solutions.”

Energy experts said the latest power blackout will add ammunition to Mr. López Obrador’s push to overhaul the energy sector and guarantee Mexican energy independence, no matter the cost to users or investors.

“Right now it’s easy to point to Texas, to the United States, to the dependence on gas imports,” said Adrián Garza Patiño, a senior analyst at Moody’s, the rating agency. “And even more so with the reaction from the government of Texas itself.”

Mr. López Obrador, who has made rebuilding both the C.F.E. and the state oil company, Pemex, a central pillar of his political and economic agenda, sent a bill to Congress this month that could quash competition from private renewable energy plants by making state-owned plants, many of which run on fossil fuels, first in line to supply the country’s power.

Photo: Natural gas flares at a facility near Coyanosa, Texas, in August.Credit...Jessica Lutz for The New York Times

Link: Mexico Cries Foul at Natural Gas Cutoff Ordered by Texas Governor - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

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