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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Nicaraguan President Defies U.S. in Harsh Crackdown on Opposition

Tuesday, June 15, 2021

Categories: ASCF News Terrorism

Comments: 0

Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/nicaraguan-president-defies-u-s-in-harsh-crackdown-on-opposition-11623697134

President Daniel Ortega, left, attended a Nicaragua army ceremony in Managua last year. PHOTO: NICARAGUAN PRESIDENCY/REUTERS

Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega, 75, who is running for a fourth consecutive term, has launched a broad campaign of repression since early June aimed at decimating the opposition ahead of November elections, according to analysts, human-rights activists and Western governments.

In recent days, police beat one opposition presidential hopeful before putting him in prison. Another would-be opposition candidate was arrested shortly after he filmed a video saying goodbye to his family in case he, too, was detained. A third prominent opposition leader was photographed by police after they stormed his home to arrest him. In the picture, he looked frightened as he stood next to a police commander accused by the U.S. of human-rights violations.

The wave of arrests, seen by analysts as among the worst crackdowns against civil society in Latin America in decades, presents another problem for the Biden administration as it struggles to deal with a region mired in grinding poverty and endemic corruption that is sending hundreds of thousands of migrants to the U.S. and threatening the new administration’s agenda.

The wave of arrests came as top U.S. officials, including Vice President Kamala Harris, visited Central America last week to promote good governance and find ways to slow illegal immigration to the U.S.

At least 13 prominent Nicaraguan members of the opposition, including four possible presidential contenders, have been arrested in the past two weeks. The potential candidates had all been jockeying to be nominated on behalf of the opposition, a loose coalition of parties and civic groups.

On Sunday, the crackdown targeted former comrades-in-arms of Mr. Ortega’s Sandinista movement that toppled dictator Anastasio Somoza in 1979. Police arrested Dora María Téllez, 65, a legendary Sandinista commander who broke with Mr. Ortega several years ago over what she called his growing dictatorial tendencies.

In an interview last week before her arrest, Ms. Téllez said she believed Mr. Ortega would prevent the vote outright or stop any major opposition figure from running. “They are carrying out a night of the long knives,” she said.

Police also arrested Hugo Torres, 73, a retired Sandinista general and ex-intelligence chief, and Victor Hugo Tinoco, 68, who had been a Sandinista deputy foreign minister.

“I never thought that at this stage of my life I would be fighting another dictatorship,” Mr. Torres said in a video message recorded shortly before he was arrested and sent to journalists and friends, who posted it on social media.

Business and political leaders have also been arrested and had their bank accounts frozen. As many as 30 journalists have been summoned to police headquarters for questioning, say journalists based in Managua, Nicaragua’s capital.

Luis Almagro, the head of the Organization of American States, has called for a special meeting on Tuesday to discuss the possible suspension of Nicaragua from the multilateral organization.

A spokesman for the Nicaraguan police didn’t reply to a request for comment. Rosario Murillo, Mr. Ortega’s wife, vice president and official spokeswoman, declined to respond to detailed questions sent through email.

Last Thursday, she called in to a television news station to criticize the opposition. “It is time they pay for all the injuries, for all those defamations and insults to their fatherland,” she said.

The U.S. has criticized the crackdown. “The United States condemns this ongoing campaign of terror in the most unequivocal terms and considers President Ortega, Vice President Murillo, and those complicit in these actions responsible” for the safety and well-being of the presidential candidates and others arrested in the crackdown, a State Department spokesperson said in response to questions from The Wall Street Journal.

The U.S. will “continue to use all diplomatic and economic tools at our disposal to support Nicaraguans’ calls for greater freedom and accountability, and free and fair elections,” the spokesperson said.

The U.S. is consulting with allies in the European Union as well as the OAS over how to respond, and reviewing Nicaragua’s membership in the Central American Free Trade Agreement, known as CAFTA, Julie Chung, the top State Department official for Latin America, told reporters in a conference call on Friday.

Last week, the U.S. sanctioned four Nicaraguans, including Camila Ortega, the daughter of Daniel Ortega, who runs a private television station owned by the family. The U.S. has sanctioned 31 Nicaraguan officials and Ortega family members since 2017, as well as eight Nicaraguan entities, freezing any assets held in the U.S., and prohibiting American citizens from having dealings with them.

Prominent Nicaraguans say further detentions are likely: Police have issued an arrest warrant for Mario Arana, a former central bank president, who is in hiding.

Many other prominent Nicaraguans have gone into hiding or taken other precautions.

“We are worried, nervous and afraid of being sent to prison,” said Humberto Belli, a former education minister and columnist.

Mr. Ortega, a former Marxist guerrilla, has been in power since 2007. He was a leader of the 1979 Sandinista revolution, and then squared off with U.S.-backed Contra guerrillas during the 1980s during the Cold War. Former U.S. President Ronald Reagan famously called him a “tin-pot dictator.”

Most of the opposition figures were arrested for allegedly violating a recent wide-ranging law which makes it a crime akin to treason to undermine Nicaragua’s sovereignty. Another law makes it a crime to publish so-called fake news. Detention of suspects while police investigate such charges has been increased to 90 days from 48 hours.

The first arrest was of Cristiana Chamorro, 67, widely seen as the leading opposition figure for the November election. She is the daughter of Violeta Chamorro, who defeated Mr. Ortega in a 1990 election that ushered in democracy and made her the first elected female head of state in the Americas.

The younger Ms. Chamorro’s detention took place on June 3, the day after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Nicaragua’s foreign minister at a regional summit in Costa Rica. At the meeting, Mr. Blinken assured the Nicaraguans that the U.S. wanted a constructive relationship with Mr. Ortega and would accept any result of a free and fair election, said Ms. Chung.

Following the arrests, however, Ms. Chung said that the U.S. “does not see conditions for free and fair elections” in Nicaragua.

Mr. Ortega’s government, which polls show has grown unpopular with Nicaraguans, may have decided the risks of losing an election are higher than upsetting the international community, said Eric Farnsworth, a former senior U.S. diplomat.

“They are testing the limits of how far they can push,” said Mr. Farnsworth. “They have assessed what the U.S. is willing to do in the region and determined that the reward is bigger than the downside.”

Ms. Chamorro’s arrest was followed by the detention of three other possible presidential candidates, academic Félix Maradiaga ; economist Juan Sebastián Chamorro, who is a cousin of Cristiana Chamorro; and former Nicaraguan Ambassador to the U.S. Arturo Cruz.

Roger Reyes, a lawyer for Mr. Maradiaga, said his client was summoned last week to the Attorney General’s office. After the meeting, police hauled the opposition leader out of his car and hit him in the face. Mr. Reyes hasn’t seen his client since.

One pro-Ortega radio host last week compared the government’s campaign to a victorious military offensive by the Sandinista army against the Contras in the 1980s. “We are going to bust their ass,” said William Grigsby in his radio program Sin Fronteras. Mr. Grigsby didn’t reply to a request for comment.

Mr. Ortega’s support has fallen from a high of 53% in 2017 to 39% in May, according to a Cid Gallup poll. Cristiana Chamorro enjoys the highest favorability rating of any politician in the country, with 53% approval, compared with 39% for Mr. Ortega.

“Losing the election is a life or death issue for him,” said Tiziano Breda, a Central America analyst for the International Crisis Group, a think tank that works on conflict resolution.

With four out of eight presidential hopefuls in prison, many in the opposition are debating whether they should boycott the election. But others say such a move would play into Mr. Ortega’s hands and further solidify his grip on the country.

Some of the arrests have been carried out in a brutal and degrading manner, relatives and lawyers say.

Police slapped opposition figure Violeta Granera, 73, pulled her hair and handcuffed her as they put her under house arrest, said her son, Alfonso Sandino. She was later taken from her home and is presumed to be in prison, according to members of her party.

Police stormed the home of Jose Pallais, 67, a former deputy foreign minister who is a diabetic and suffers from hypertension. During the arrest, police took a picture of Mr. Pallais standing next to police commander Fidel Dominguez, who has been sanctioned by the U.S. for rights abuses, including the alleged torture of a former deputy and three other members of a prominent anti-Ortega family.

Mr. Pallais was dressed in sandals, a dark stain spreading in front of his shorts. His son, Bernard Pallais, said his father had wet himself during the arrest.

“The photo was used to make my father look like a war trophy,” said Bernard Pallais, who hasn’t heard from his father since.

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