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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Taiwan Retooling Defenses to Counter a ‘Belligerent’ China

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats National Preparedness

Comments: 0

Taiwan is emphasizing asymmetric defenses from mines to anti-ship missiles, overhauling its reserve forces and professionalizing its military structure to better defend itself from “a more belligerent and aggressive” China, the island’s president said Wednesday.

Ensuring the island, now spending 2.3 percent of its GDP on defense, is focused on the right capabilities “is our number one priority,” President Tsai Ing-wen said during an event with the Hudson Institute.

“We are deeply engaged in reforming our new joint battalions,” involving land, air, and sea forces liaisons to ensure the branches can operate together in a crisis and that each battalion can adapt to its new combat circumstances, rather than wait for instructions from higher headquarters, she said. In the past, each service trained on its own with command centralized at the brigade level.

News reports indicate the joint battalions will be equipped with unmanned aerial systems and operators, have attached sniper teams and move about in wheeled armored vehicles. The battalions will also have with them man-portable air-defense Stinger missiles.

In July, Taiwan tested its asymmetric concepts during the latest Han Kuang exercise series, which simulated a coastal attack from mainland China, as an example of the shift from heavy armored forces to integrated asymmetric defense.

It’s a “transformation of our military into a more effective force” in defending Taiwan, she said. In its shift to an all-volunteer force, the reserves have been used mostly in response to natural or humanitarian disasters.

Bi-Khim Hsiao, Taiwan’s representative to the United States, said the pressures Taiwan is facing militarily from Beijing have been on the upswing since the COVID-19 pandemic. She and Tsai cited China’s assertiveness in the Himalayas with India to the South China Sea.

“There is an increasing risk of miscalculation” on China’s part with its daily incursions with air and naval forces in the straits and off the island, Hsiao said. Beijing has begun sea trials on its newest amphibious assault ship, raising new concerns in Washington and Taipei over China’s intentions on the future of Taiwan.

The emphasis of asymmetrical capabilities in island defense is to “make any consideration of invasion very painful” to Beijing, she said. Hsiao added that raising the standards for the reserve forces to include drawing on their civilian skills in cyber security shows new resolve to defend Taiwan against direct invasion and digital attack.

Hsiao said Taiwan’s geographic position in the “first island chain” from the Chinese mainland shows its importance as a stakeholder in the affairs of the East and South China seas. She noted that Beijing’s “naval capacity is now reaching the ‘third island chain’ Hawaii.” This reach, coupled with its aggressive behavior off Malaysia in the South China Sea, brought new focus on stability in those waters.

From the Taiwan Straits to the South China Sea, “Taiwan and the United States have overlapping interests,” she said, “but with very different perspectives.” The overlapping interests include ensuring trade moves smoothly through international waters. She added Japan and India share these interests.

Taiwan’s goal “is to jointly secure stability in the region at large,” Hsiao said.

At the same time, as talks over trade continue, “we’ve had very frank and open discussions with the United States over the modernization of our military.” Hsiao added these talks also included what necessary changes needed to be made to professionalize its all-volunteer force. “We believe this is a positive step,” she said.

Since Taiwan reduced its reliance on the draft, the island has had difficulty recruiting and retaining an all-volunteer force, Tsai acknowledged in her remarks; but improved pay and opportunities for those who commit to four-year enlistments are starting to turn that around.

“Our democracy is under constant challenge” that requires a well-trained force and informed electorate, Hsiao added.

The challenge includes disinformation campaigns and fake news blanketing the island through social media. This “hybrid threat” is an “infiltration into our civil society” with the goal of undermining Taiwan’s democracy, she said.

Looking ahead in her second term, Tsai said, “I fully expect this number to grow,” referring to Taiwan’s spending on defense. In a run-up to the presidential election, China sent its aircraft carrier Shandong through the Taiwan Straits to intimidate island voters. Since then, Beijing has also pressured more countries to drop diplomatic recognition of Taiwan, while at the same time blocking its participation in international organizations.

Another reason to believe defense spending will rise for the foreseeable future is Beijing’s insistence on direct control over affairs it considers China’s alone. The example she used was the crackdown on pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong under the newly passed internal security law, effectively ends the “one country/two policies” approach to governance.

China’s ruling party regards the 23 million residents of Taiwan as living in a breakaway province.

Although the United States has had a “one-China” policy since 1979, the Taiwan Relations Act allows substantial non-diplomatic interchange to include defense sales between Washington and Taipei.

Photo: Soldiers from a M110A2 self-propelled artillery squad from the Republic of China (Taiwan) Army. CNA Photo

Link: https://news.usni.org/2020/08/12/taiwan-retooling-defenses-to-counter-a-belligerent-china?utm_source=USNI+News&utm_campaign=5fa0a9eb53-USNI_NEWS_DAILY&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_0dd4a1450b-5fa0a9eb53-234691293&ct=t(USNI_NEWS_DAILY)&mc_cid=5fa0a9eb53

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