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Alan W. Dowd is a Senior Fellow with the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes on the full range of topics relating to national defense, foreign policy and international security. Dowd’s commentaries and essays have appeared in Policy Review, Parameters, Military Officer, The American Legion Magazine, The Journal of Diplomacy and International Relations, The Claremont Review of Books, World Politics Review, The Wall Street Journal Europe, The Jerusalem Post, The Financial Times Deutschland, The Washington Times, The Baltimore Sun, The Washington Examiner, The Detroit News, The Sacramento Bee, The Vancouver Sun, The National Post, The Landing Zone, Current, The World & I, The American Enterprise, Fraser Forum, American Outlook, The American and the online editions of Weekly Standard, National Review and American Interest. Beyond his work in opinion journalism, Dowd has served as an adjunct professor and university lecturer; congressional aide; and administrator, researcher and writer at leading think tanks, including the Hudson Institute, Sagamore Institute and Fraser Institute. An award-winning writer, Dowd has been interviewed by Fox News Channel, Cox News Service, The Washington Times, The National Post, the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and numerous radio programs across North America. In addition, his work has been quoted by and/or reprinted in The Guardian, CBS News, BBC News and the Council on Foreign Relations. Dowd holds degrees from Butler University and Indiana University. Follow him at twitter.com/alanwdowd.

ASCF News

Scott Tilley is a Senior Fellow at the American Security Council Foundation, where he writes the “Technical Power” column, focusing on the societal and national security implications of advanced technology in cybersecurity, space, and foreign relations.

He is an emeritus professor at the Florida Institute of Technology. Previously, he was with the University of California, Riverside, Carnegie Mellon University’s Software Engineering Institute, and IBM. His research and teaching were in the areas of computer science, software & systems engineering, educational technology, the design of communication, and business information systems.

He is president and founder of the Center for Technology & Society, president and co-founder of Big Data Florida, past president of INCOSE Space Coast, and a Space Coast Writers’ Guild Fellow.

He has authored over 150 academic papers and has published 28 books (technical and non-technical), most recently Systems Analysis & Design (Cengage, 2020), SPACE (Anthology Alliance, 2019), and Technical Justice (CTS Press, 2019). He wrote the “Technology Today” column for FLORIDA TODAY from 2010 to 2018.

He is a popular public speaker, having delivered numerous keynote presentations and “Tech Talks” for a general audience. Recent examples include the role of big data in the space program, a four-part series on machine learning, and a four-part series on fake news.

He holds a Ph.D. in computer science from the University of Victoria (1995).

Contact him at stilley@cts.today.

Venezuela Proposes Major Overhaul of Energy Sector

Thursday, April 30, 2020

Categories: ASCF News Emerging Threats Energy Independence

Comments: 0

Venezuela’s government is proposing a sweeping overhaul of its energy industry, scaling back the role of the state and handing over greater control to private companies in an effort to boost plummeting oil output, according to a government presentation.

The proposal, which was compiled last month by a special restructuring committee appointed by President Nicolás Maduro, comes as corruption and mismanagement have crippled national oil monopoly Petróleos de Venezuela SA, or PdVSA. A raft of U.S. sanctions more recently have choked off the ability to pump and transport crude from Venezuela, pushing the Maduro regime to search for solutions to revive the country’s economic lifeblood.

A blueprint of the plan was made public just days after Mr. Maduro appointed Tareck El Aissami, a close economic adviser who is also wanted by U.S. prosecutors on drug trafficking charges, as his new oil minister.

The plan calls for an effective downsizing of PdVSA, reducing the share of the oil projects it operates in Venezuela with a diminishing group of foreign partners. It also strips PdVSA of nonenergy-sector duties, a dramatic shift for an oil company that has served as a cash cow for Venezuela’s ruling Socialist Party.

For much of the past 20 years, PdVSA has been used for everything from organizing political events to constructing housing to distributing subsidized chicken. But the country’s economic meltdown and falling crude output have forced the government to recalculate its outlook for the commodity that it once said would fuel a leftist revolution around Latin America.

“Currently, Venezuela’s oil production ceased being strategic for the world,” the presentation says, explaining why a shake-up was necessary. The plan also calls for rolling back generous fuel subsidies. Gasoline is virtually free in the South American country, but shortages have intensified in recent weeks while the government struggles to refine or import fuel.

The proposal targets a doubling of crude output to 1 million barrels a day, a long shot from the 3 million barrels the country used to pump daily a decade ago.

Orlando Ochoa, an oil economist at Andres Bello Catholic University in Caracas, called the government’s proposal a pipe dream amid the troubles Venezuela is facing.

A continuing power struggle between Mr. Maduro and main rival Juan Guaidó, who is recognized by the U.S. and its allies as Venezuela’s legitimate president, is likely to keep most energy investors away from the country, which sits on the world’s largest oil reserves.

U.S. sanctions already prohibit most oil companies from operating in Venezuela. Chevron Corp., the last major U.S. energy firm working in country, has been effectively ordered to wind down operations there.

Chronic power outages, food shortages and a mass exodus of oil-field technicians from the country highlight other practical challenges that make an industry restructuring unrealistic, Mr. Ochoa added.

“It’s extremely too little, extremely too late,” he said. “It’s a plan of wishful thinking, with no way to be implemented. This is a government in survival mode.”

Photo: The ‘Peace Monument’ sculpture outside the headquarters of Petróleos de Venezuela SA in Caracas. - FEDERICO PARRA/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

Link: https://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuela-proposes-major-overhaul-of-energy-sector-11588210094

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